2020 Election Predictions (Read: Chaos)

I was on the phone with my dad earlier this evening and we were discussing the upcoming elections, it’s my belief what we are seeing currently is a precursor to some pretty heavy events that are going to stress the fabric of our nation to its very core.  So far most of us have been able to avoid the violence and upheavals that have hit around the country, I don’t think that will be the case in November.   Do I think we’ll see mass armed (and sustained) conflicts with big casualty counts and black helicopters with snipers taking out the dissidents?  No…I don’t think it will come to that but I do believe the events will be bad enough to impact all of us in some respect and be a catalyst for even more hardships.

This is the point where I tell you that I’m not a Democrat or a Republican, if you’ve been following for a while you probably knew that but I thought to put that out there right away.  I’m not an enormous fan of our current administration and I certainly am not a fan of Biden et al.  I believe if one does choose a team and roots for said team (“I’m a die hard Republicrat”), you’re already part of the matrix and hope is mostly lost for you but that plays into my theory of why this November will be so tough.  Never before (in my lifetime) have we been so divided, never before has either side been so sure of their righteous cause, never before  have people been so willing to take to the streets to burn shit down.  Ladies and germs, this does not end well for anyone.

Course of Action 1: Biden wins

I’m sure many of you have seen it, but Trump did come out and state that the only way for him to lose the election is if it was rigged / fraud.

“We have to win the election. We can’t play games. Go out and vote. Do those beautiful absentee ballots, or just make sure your vote gets counted. Make sure because the only way we’re going to lose this election is if the election is rigged,” Trump told the group of supporters at the outdoor campaign event. “Remember that. It’s the only way we’re going to lose this election, so we have to be very careful.”

Think about that statement and the precedent it sets, any loss means fraud or that it has been rigged.  So essentially he wins or he wins, no matter what the actual results state and you best believe his base will run with that until the bitter end.  What if Obama or Clinton had made that statement?  Hardcore republicans would have flipped their shit calling them oath breakers and traitors and that nobody is a king but since Trump made the statement….all is good bro.

Here’s the significance in that statement and the result, should Trump lose there will be an uprising.  His base will call fraud and also call for him to stay in office.  There will be marches and most of them will be heavily armed, there will be calls for justice and possibly a revolution to “take back our country.”  Those marchers will clash with the folks who have been already protesting and rioting and if you think they are coming to a gun fight with baseball bats and knives you are sorely mistaken.  The bravado of the 3% type crowd combined with their willingness to utilize violence and/or deadly force plus what we have already witnessed the current rioter types do will be nothing short of chaos.  I don’t care how much body armor and AR15’s they have – along with the Gadsden flag waving the “Patriots” do, the first time one of their buddies catches a round to the face it’s going to be a wake up call.  Everyone wants to be a gangster until it’s time to do gangster shit.  Big facts.

Course of Action 2: Trump wins

We’ve seen a small sampling of what this can look like already in most of our larger cities.  FWIW and just for the record, George Floyd was murdered and those cops who did that to him deserve to spend the rest of their collective lives in jail.  My brother in law is black (not that it makes me know what it’s like to be black in America) and I’ve spoken at length with him or even Special Operators in the SF community who are black and if you didn’t know it yet…America still has serious racist tendencies.   Again I’m not black but I’m also not white and I can tell you growing up I too experienced this in some form.  I’ve had my bicycles stolen, car(s) keyed or vandalized, equipment in school pissed on, been in fights, been threatened and called all sorts of names.  I’ve lived in a town where there was 1 black man and besides that, we (my mom and I) were the only non-whites in the entire town. I had white relatives growing up that still referred to black people as n***ers… and I suspect maybe some of you had the same experience.  I state all that because I can empathize with the agenda and I do support the legitimate marches calling for change, however I do not support the violence that came along with it.  I digress.

I wanted to frame all that up because if Trump does win there are going to be riots like we have never seen in most major metropolitan areas and which will probably bleed over into the surrounding suburbs.  These riots will be met by the group that I mentioned in COA 1 and folks it won’t be good.  Law enforcement is in no way equipped to handle civil unrest on this scope or scale and it will unfortunately only enable the chaos.  I have a buddy who is a cop here in our largest city and he told me last night that a group of vets and others were supposedly going out to meet rioters head on with the willingness to do violence.  Nobody wins in that scenario, I don’t care what side you are on.

How I’m Preparing

I hope that by reading this all of you can understand that truly it does not matter who wins this election, either way it’s going to set off a spark in a room filled with gas (provided by the media) which will ignite chaos like we have yet to see.  We are two months away from this moment and if you are paying attention you’ll notice that all of the pieces are being laid into place sequentially and not by accident.  Personally I want nothing to do with violence or protests or any of this mess, I served my country as both an NCO and Officer for almost 23 years having been to war zones multiple times and I’m over it.  There is a reason I chose to live up here in the mountains 50 miles from the city, miles off of dirt roads bordering a National Forest as sometimes it’s best to keep one’s head down.  For those who might wonder, here is a short bullet point list of things I’m doing over the next few months.

• Any and all home maintenance to prepare for winter
• Vehicle maintenance, moving up timelines on getting things like tires or brakes done
• Finances: No large purchases and diversifying assets (like having cash / coins on hand or similar)
• Vehicle prep, think get home equipment or even items for civil unrest (full face respirators, body armor)
• Firearms training.  I’m not looking for a fight and will drive 100 miles out of my way to avoid one but if left with no other option, it’s best to be polished and very aware of one’s capabilities
• Community.  This should be #1 but I’ve been talking to a few close friends up here and we are setting some contingencies in place just in case.  Nothing crazy like underground bunkers, more like if T SHTF where are we going to source our Bourbon…

What if I’m Wrong?

You know what, I think that would make me very happy.  I was recently texting one of my good friends who is a current member of the US Congress and I was pondering how am I supposed to vote when I’m not sure I like either candidate.  That being said if I was forced to choose, I’ll take Trump over Biden any day of the week and twice on Sunday.  With that in mind I hope I’m all wrong with this and just some idiot blogger who has no actual idea wtf is going on in the world.  If the election passes and it’s all peace and quiet and most of us dancing barefoot through the tulips then I’ll gladly admit that I’m an idiot.  I don’t want the violence and I don’t want the chaos but my entire adult life I’ve been trained to prepare for the worst and there is something inside of me that knows this will be an event of epic proportions.

Final Thoughts

There are several well known bloggers out there in the preparedness community that preach doom and gloom constantly and by that I mean, every post.  Sometimes I wonder if they are the type who you could give a million dollars to and still be sad because the glass is always half full.  I’m not trying to be that type of person here but I’d rather get some of these thoughts out there in case some of you might have similar.

As a final note and point of interest, my grandfather is my hero and was a true Patriot and his exploits in WW2 were legendary (in my mind) and I think he would weep for our nation right now if he were still alive.  I do my best to honor his legacy but know that there are much bigger things at play here than politics or some election.  Stay ready so you don’t have to get ready.